Will Fifty Shades Destroy John Wick and Batman at the Box Office?

While February hasn’t traditionally been a hotbed for box office blockbusters, that started to change three years ago. Warner Bros.‘The LEGO Moviebecame an instant hit in February 2014, opening with $69 million en route to $469.1 million worldwide. In 2015,Fifty Shades of Grey($85.1 million opening weekend, $571 million worldwide) andKingsman: The Secret Service($36.2 million opening weekend, $414.3 million worldwide) went toe-to-toe, and last year, the R-ratedDeadpool($132.4 million debut, $783.1 million worldwide) set box office records. This year, three highly-anticipated movies square off, withThe LEGO Moviespin-offThe LEGO Batman moviefacing a pair of R-rated sequels, Universal’ssexually-chargederotic dramaFifty Shades Darkerand Lionsgate’s action-packedJohn Wick: Chapter 2. While all three should have no trouble drumming up business this weekend, we’re predicting thatThe LEGO Batman Moviewill come away with the easy win, debuting with $58.7 million.

While that tally is a bit less thanThe LEGO Movie’s debut just a few years ago, that movie had far less competition, opening against a pair of underperforming movies,The Monuments MenandVampire Academy. This time around, all three movies have devoted, yet much different fan bases intact, so it will certainly be an interesting race to follow this weekend.Box Office Mojoreports thatThe LEGO Batman Moviewill debut in more than 4,000 theaters, with thisanimated spin-offexpected to debut in roughly 300 more theaters thanFifty Shades Darker(3,700) and 1,100 more thanJohn Wick 2(2,900). WhileFifty Shades of Greydoesn’t have enough reviews in for a Tomato Meter score on Rotten Tomatoes, bothJohn Wick 2andThe LEGO Batman Movieare already huge critical hits.The LEGO Batman Movieboasts an incredible 98% RT score, whileJohn Wick: Chapter 2currently has an equally-impressive 94% RT score.

We’re predicting that it will be a close race for the top spot, withFifty Shades Darkercoming in second place with $57.2 million, followed byJohn Wick: Chapter 2with $31.7 million. If these predictions are accurate, it would mark a sizable decline for theFifty Shades Darkerfranchise, after an $85.1 million opening two years ago, but this sequel has much more competition this time around, making it a more difficult weekend to predict. It’s also worth noting thatFifty Shades of Greysuffered a massive 73.9% drop in its second weekend, with its opening weekend accounting for 51.3% of its domestic haul. There is still a devoted fan base in place forFifty Shades Darker, with the recent trailer breaking thetrailer views record, with 114 million views in the first 24 hours, beatingStar Wars: The Force Awakens’ record of 112 million. Rounding out the top five will likely be three-time box office champSplitin fourth place with $7.1 million, followed byRingswith $6.2 million.

In the irreverent spirit of fun that madeThe LEGO Movie, a worldwide phenomenon, the self-described leading man of that ensemble,LEGO Batman, stars in his own big-screen adventure:The LEGO Batman Movie. But there are big changes brewing in Gotham, and if he wants to save the city from The Joker’s hostile takeover, Batman may have to drop the lone vigilante thing, try to work with others and maybe, just maybe, learn to lighten up. The all-star voice cast forThe LEGO Batman MovieincludesMichael Ceraas Robin,Ralph Fiennesas Alfred Pennyworth,Rosario Dawsonas Batgirl,Zach Galifianankisas The Joker,Jenny Slateas Harley Quinn,Mariah Careyas Gotham City’s Mayor McDaniels andBilly Dee Williamsas Two-Face. There are also a number of DC Comics characters whose voice actors' haven’t been confirmed, such as Catwoman, Mr. Freeze, The Penguin, Poison Ivy and The Riddler.

Jamie DornanandDakota Johnsonreturn asChristian Grey and Anastasia SteeleinFifty Shades Darker, the second chapter based on the worldwide bestsellingFifty Shadesphenomenon. Expanding upon events set in motion in 2015’s blockbuster film that grossed more than $560 million globally, the new installment arrives for Valentine’s Day and invites you to slip into something a shade darker. When a wounded Christian Grey tries to entice a cautious Ana Steele back into his life, she demands a new arrangement before she will give him another chance. As the two begin to build trust and find stability, shadowy figures from Christian’s past start to circle the couple, determined to destroy their hopes for a future together. Also returning fromFifty Shades of Greyare Academy Award winnerMarcia Gay Harden,Jennifer Ehle,Luke Grimes,Rita Ora,Victor Rasuk,Eloise MumfordandMax Martini, who are joined for the first time by Oscar winnerKim Basinger,Hugh Dancy,Bella HeathcoteandEric Johnson.

Keanu Reevesreturns in the sequel to the 2014 hit as legendary hitmanJohn Wickwho is forced to back out of retirement by a former associate plotting to seize control of a shadowy international assassins' guild. Bound by a blood oath to help him, John travels to Rome where he squares off against some of the world’s deadliest killers. OriginalJohn WickstarsIan McShane(Winston),John Leguizamo(Aurelio),Thomas Sadoski(Jimmy) andLance Reddick(Charon) have returned to reprise their roles. New cast members includeRiccardo Scamarcioas the new villain,Laurence Fishburneas an assassin known as The Bowery King, along withCommon,Ruby RoseandPeter Stormare.

Rounding out the top 10 will likely beA Dog’s Purpose($5.3 million),Hidden Figures($5 million),La La Land($4.7 million),Resident Evil: The Final Chapter($2.5 million) andSing($2.4 million). Also opening in limited release is Vertical Entertainment’s thrillerDon’t Hang Up, China Lion’s comedyDuckweed, Brainstorm Media’s horror thrillerHavenhurst, FIP’s dramatic comedyJohnny Llb 2, Oscilloscope Pictures' documentaryKedi, Screen Media’s thrillerStray Bulletsand Fox Searchlight’s dramaA United Kingdom. It remains to be seen if any of these limited-release films will expand in the weeks and months to come.

Looking ahead to next weekend, three more vastly different movies will hit theaters in wide release. Universal will roll out its period action-thrillerThe Great WallstarringMatt Damon, which will go up against Warner Bros.' comedyFist Fight, starringIce CubeandCharlie Day, and 20th Century Fox’s thrillerA Cure For Wellness, starringDane DeHaan. Also opening in limited release that weekend is IFC’sAmerican Fable, Pantelion’sEverybody Loves Somebody, Sony Pictures Classics’Land of Mine, Strand’sLovesongand Reliance Big Pictures’Runningshaadi.com. Check back on Sunday for the box office estimates, and again a week from today for the next round of predictions. Until then, take a look at our top 10 projections for the weekend of February 10.